Dubai Real Estate Market Outlook 2025 (Archival)

This is the market outlook as it was compiled heading into 2025, kept here as an archival reference rather than current guidance. At the time, the UAE Central Bank was forecasting 6.2% national GDP growth for 2025, with around 182,000 new housing units expected across 2025 and 2026, and the first half of 2024 showing 43,000 transactions and 41% price growth. It also covers the sustainability and smart-city trends developers were building around at the time, and where forecasts from that period turned out to be right or wrong is worth reading with today's actual data alongside it, not instead of it.

This one’s included deliberately as an archival piece rather than live guidance, it’s the outlook as it was compiled heading into 2025. Reading it now, well over a year on, is actually useful: you can see which forecasts held up (the diversification thesis, the tech and sustainability push) and which needed real-world events to correct them. If you want current market commentary instead, the Iran and UAE de-escalation piece and the ADGM institutional wave piece reflect what’s actually happened since.

Figures in the summary above are drawn directly from the source materials and reflect the outlook at the time it was compiled, not current market conditions.